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April 7 2013

How Close Is Doomsday?


How close are we to the end? How close are we to being among the last humans to ever live? Depending on who you are your religion, politics, relative degree of pessimism or optimism that question is bound to bring up images of some particular kind of cataclysm. It could be an all-out nuclear exchange or a climate change-driven mass extinction. But what if there was a way of answering the doomsday question in the most generic way possible.

What if there was a mathematical way of addressing doomsday that had nothing to do with politics or policies or perspective? More importantly: What if that approach already existed and it told us we were already close to the end?

Consider this your introduction to the Doomsday Argument.

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