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The question most people have about the threat of stormy weather and more flooding is the one the scientists find hardest to answer: how bad is it going to be?

The fact is that the science of understanding why rain falls, and where and when, and how it then soaks into the ground or spills into the streets, is extremely challenging.

And Britain, as an island nation, tucked between the Atlantic Ocean and the continental mass of Europe, and caught in a tussle between mild maritime air and icy blasts from the Arctic, has the least predictable weather of all.