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Predetermination (cont.)
By Johannes Brilleman

Part 2: Cyclic Time in World Events

So, based on the same idea: Comparing the current relative mass distribution of the Solar System with past dates of the same state. I made a new program that would 'pluck' news from Wikipedia, then filter out those events that share common words, and I started tracking.

After about a year of tracking the news, it became clear that the program had a high success rate in the areas of: Politics, Sport and Accidents. All these topics are directly related to humans. While, other topics such as: Weather and Earthquakes, seemed less cyclic.

There are a few problems with forecasting the news and communicating this to other people. The biggest issue I faced was deciding whether something really happened, was a coincidence, or did not happen at all. The reason for this is because there are no fixed rules for such a choice. It is difficult to make this branch of research statistically measurable.


Was this accurate, was it a coincidence, or was this nothing at all?

The other problem involves the attention-span of a human. If I were to make a forecast about 10 years into the future, then probably nobody is going to keep track of it. On the other hand, if I do a forecast that is for next week, then everybody is saying 'Yes, sure, that is to be expected, that issue has been going on for quite some time now'. So a forecast needs to balance between being 'far away enough' to come as a surprise to people, but 'close by enough' to keep people actually interested in hearing you out.

The last problem I face with other people is that they tend to look at these forecasts as if it were to be something clairvoyantly done, or paranormal. And they use every opportunity to tell me that I was wrong in my 'predictions'. It seems difficult to understand that what I am showing is not a PREDICTION of the future, but a tendency towards CYCLIC TIME. It does not mean that the future will have to happen exactly as the past, it means that it will resemble the past. A cow is an animal, but not all animals are cows. Some cows give birth in April, others in August.


Was this accurate, was it a coincidence, or was this nothing at all?
(Yes, the difference in degrees can be explained by the position of other planets)

So I decided to put the forecasts online for a period of 3 to 6 months into the future, and let people decide for themselves whether they like it or not. You can have a look at the results of the program at: http://snakebearer.narod2.ru it gets updated roughly every other month. Past records are not being kept as I really do not like the discussion about 'predicted' events that happened or not.


Was this accurate, was it a coincidence, or was this nothing at all?
(The start of the Arab Spring inner circle, The end of North-African conflicts for independence outer circle)
(both in Egypt)
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