Predetermination (cont.)
By Johannes Brilleman
Part 2: Cyclic Time in World Events
So, based
on the same idea: Comparing the current relative mass distribution of
the Solar System with past dates of the same state. I made a new
program that would 'pluck' news from Wikipedia, then filter out those
events that share common words, and I started tracking.
After
about a year of tracking the news, it became clear that the program
had a high success rate in the areas of: Politics, Sport and
Accidents. All these topics are directly related to humans. While,
other topics such as: Weather and Earthquakes, seemed less cyclic.
There are
a few problems with forecasting the news and communicating this to
other people. The biggest issue I faced was deciding whether
something really happened, was a coincidence, or did not happen at
all. The reason for this is because there are no fixed rules for such
a choice. It is difficult to make this branch of research
statistically measurable.
 Was this accurate, was it a coincidence, or was this nothing at all?
The other
problem involves the attention-span of a human. If I were to make a
forecast about 10 years into the future, then probably nobody is
going to keep track of it. On the other hand, if I do a forecast that
is for next week, then everybody is saying 'Yes, sure, that is to be
expected, that issue has been going on for quite some time now'. So a
forecast needs to balance between being 'far away enough' to come as
a surprise to people, but 'close by enough' to keep people actually
interested in hearing you out.
The last
problem I face with other people is that they tend to look at these
forecasts as if it were to be something clairvoyantly done, or
paranormal. And they use every opportunity to tell me that I was
wrong in my 'predictions'. It seems difficult to understand that what
I am showing is not a PREDICTION of the future, but a tendency
towards CYCLIC TIME. It does not mean that the future will have to
happen exactly as the past, it means that it will resemble the past.
A cow is an animal, but not all animals are cows. Some cows give
birth in April, others in August.
  Was this accurate, was it a coincidence, or was this nothing at all?
(Yes, the difference in degrees can be explained by the position of other planets)
So I
decided to put the forecasts online for a period of 3 to 6 months
into the future, and let people decide for themselves whether they
like it or not. You can have a look at the results of the program at:
http://snakebearer.narod2.ru it gets updated roughly every other
month. Past records are not being kept as I really do not like the
discussion about 'predicted' events that happened or not.
 Was this accurate, was it a coincidence, or was this nothing at all?
(The start of the Arab Spring inner circle, The end of North-African conflicts for independence outer circle)
(both in Egypt)
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